Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

42.12 – 5.79

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

72 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.6 ±11.6

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 18.36Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 10.82Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 12.94Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 76.2 ±12.1

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 6.61Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX -0.37Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX -0.45Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3196, 900, 9298

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 900, 9298

Auto

10.5 26%

Teleop

21.3 52%

Endgame

8.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9198, 10412, 9762

/ 100 compat

Projected

5.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9198, 10412, 9762

Auto

1.7 41%

Teleop

-5.1 0%

Endgame

7.5 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42.1pts

Blue projected score5.8pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.3
Score range: -4–52
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 107 vs event baseline 58.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.6Season APEX76.2

10.5Auto1.7

21.3Teleop-5.1

8.8Endgame7.5

44Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	11
teleop	32	19
endgame	13	0
foul	15	5
total	72	35

Result

Final score

72 – 35

Prediction correct · off by 29.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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