Qualification · Qualification 28
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
34.7 – 56.21
43%57%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
41 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 136.6 ±11
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 29.05Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 15.31Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -9.66Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.5 ±11
Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 26.79Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 15.17Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 14.25Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10107, 10248, 8757
36
/ 100 compatProjected
34.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10107, 10248, 8757
Auto
13.4 47%
Teleop
6.7 23%
Endgame
8.6 30%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4935, 8727, 10704
53
/ 100 compatProjected
56.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4935, 8727, 10704
Auto
1.8 3%
Teleop
39.1 67%
Endgame
17.1 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score34.7pts
Blue projected score56.2pts
Red win probability43%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 17%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -21.5
- Score range
- 25–66
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
136.6Season APEX229.5
13.4Auto1.8
6.7Teleop39.1
8.6Endgame17.1
75Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 11 |
| teleop | 9 | 64 |
| endgame | 8 | 36 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 41 | 111 |
Result
Final score
41 – 111
Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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