Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.1 – 135.8

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 12 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.9 ±11

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 11.17Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -6.58Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2640HOTBOTZ

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 32.51Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.7 ±9.3

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 59.26Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 2.3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 74.24Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9005, 5727, 2640

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9005, 5727, 2640

Auto

7.5 20%

Teleop

22.5 59%

Endgame

8.1 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2724, 8746, 3506

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2724, 8746, 3506

Auto

25.4 18%

Teleop

86.8 63%

Endgame

25.2 18%

Strengths

· 3506 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.64 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.1pts

Blue projected score135.8pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.7
Score range: 27–146
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 197 vs event baseline 56.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

163.9Season APEX489.7

7.5Auto25.4

22.5Teleop86.8

8.1Endgame25.2

30Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	46
teleop	20	82
endgame	10	30
foul	0	0
total	39	158

Result

Final score

39 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 12 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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