Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0.4 – 58.45

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 41.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 59.3 ±12.7

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 9.27Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX -18.45Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 9.58Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.6 ±11.7

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 12.11Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9605Creek Commanders

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -2.88Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 49.22Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6932, 3680, 9298

/ 100 compat

Projected

0.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6932, 3680, 9298

Auto

5.7 0%

Teleop

-7.1 100%

Endgame

-1.8 56%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3196, 9605, 6500

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 9605, 6500

Auto

19.4 33%

Teleop

33.0 56%

Endgame

6.8 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 7%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score0.4pts

Blue projected score58.5pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 7%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58
Score range: -10–68
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 55.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

59.3Season APEX226.6

5.7Auto19.4

-7.1Teleop33

-1.8Endgame6.8

36Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	13
teleop	9	84
endgame	5	17
foul	0	0
total	27	114

Result

Final score

27 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 41.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.