Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 101.72

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±11

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 1.42Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 4.67Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -21.77Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.7 ±10.5

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 63.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6500GearCats

Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 54.24Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX -16.03Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8727, 9005, 5727

/ 100 compat

Projected

-15.7 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8727, 9005, 5727

Auto

-0.1 1%

Teleop

-9.7 60%

Endgame

-6.4 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2724, 6500, 3680

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2724, 6500, 3680

Auto

25.0 25%

Teleop

59.8 59%

Endgame

16.5 16%

Strengths

· 2724 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-15.7pts

Blue projected score101.7pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.7
Score range: -10–112
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 145 vs event baseline 55.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.9Season APEX394.7

-0.1Auto25

-9.7Teleop59.8

-6.4Endgame16.5

50Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	32
teleop	30	48
endgame	19	5
foul	0	0
total	60	85

Result

Final score

60 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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