Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.34 – 6

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

167 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 339.9 ±9.8

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 63.43Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 15.68Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 0.23Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 79.3 ±12.7

9605Creek Commanders

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -6.75Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 4.58Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5511Cortechs Robotics

Season APEX 22.5Event APEX 8.17Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3506, 1225, 3196

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3506, 1225, 3196

Auto

20.8 27%

Teleop

32.8 43%

Endgame

23.1 30%

Strengths

· 3506 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9605, 10412, 5511

/ 100 compat

Projected

6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9605, 10412, 5511

Auto

2.6 87%

Teleop

2.3 77%

Endgame

-1.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.3pts

Blue projected score6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.3
Score range: -4–89
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 53.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

339.9Season APEX79.3

20.8Auto2.6

32.8Teleop2.3

23.1Endgame-1.9

71Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	7
teleop	98	3
endgame	36	3
foul	0	0
total	167	13

Result

Final score

167 – 13

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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