Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.02 – 83.44

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.8 ±11

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 30.96Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 0.51Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 10.55Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 229.8 ±11

4534Wired Wizards

Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 55.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6894Iced Java

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 14.62Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 13.29Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4935, 9762, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

42 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4935, 9762, 11377

Auto

16.6 41%

Teleop

10.0 25%

Endgame

13.8 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4534, 6894, 900

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4534, 6894, 900

Auto

10.7 13%

Teleop

43.8 52%

Endgame

30.1 36%

Strengths

· 4534 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42pts

Blue projected score83.4pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.4
Score range: 33–92
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 52.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

147.8Season APEX229.8

16.6Auto10.7

10Teleop43.8

13.8Endgame30.1

28Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	21
teleop	36	68
endgame	13	14
foul	0	0
total	59	103

Result

Final score

59 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.