Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.51 – 27.97

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

26 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 3.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 107.7 ±12.2

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 9.7Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8757GeodeBots

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX -1.03Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10704Storm Surge

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 13.84Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 134.1 ±11

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 13.49Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 6.04Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 8.44Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6932, 8757, 10704

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6932, 8757, 10704

Auto

9.5 39%

Teleop

10.0 41%

Endgame

4.8 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9150, 9298, 8746

/ 100 compat

Projected

28 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 9298, 8746

Auto

10.0 40%

Teleop

13.0 52%

Endgame

2.2 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score22.5pts

Blue projected score28pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.5
Score range: 13–38
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 58 vs event baseline 53.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

107.7Season APEX134.1

9.5Auto10

10Teleop13

4.8Endgame2.2

83Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	6
teleop	13	12
endgame	0	14
foul	0	0
total	26	32

Result

Final score

26 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 3.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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