Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

49.87 – 33.4

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

17 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.3 ±11

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 13.21Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 18.45Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 18.21Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 127.1 ±12.2

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -9.14Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 13.06Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 29.48Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10412, 8727, 9150

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10412, 8727, 9150

Auto

13.0 28%

Teleop

21.1 45%

Endgame

12.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5727, 6932, 4935

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5727, 6932, 4935

Auto

5.8 16%

Teleop

28.3 78%

Endgame

2.0 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.9pts

Blue projected score33.4pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.5
Score range: 23–60
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 32 vs event baseline 54.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.3Season APEX127.1

13Auto5.8

21.1Teleop28.3

12.9Endgame2

38Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	10
teleop	0	5
endgame	7	0
foul	0	0
total	17	15

Result

Final score

17 – 15

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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