Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
80.05 – 63.64
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 35.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.5 ±11
Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 34.96Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 15.1Event APEX -2.28Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 47.37Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.5 ±11.1
Season APEX 47.7Event APEX -1.63Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 16.05Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 49.22Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1225, 9762, 6500
86
/ 100 compatProjected
80.1 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 1225, 9762, 6500
Auto
9.8 13%
Teleop
46.1 60%
Endgame
20.9 27%
Strengths
- · 6500 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10704, 10107, 2724
70
/ 100 compatProjected
63.6 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 10704, 10107, 2724
Auto
2.2 4%
Teleop
45.9 78%
Endgame
10.9 18%
Strengths
- · 2724 anchors offense
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 20%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score80.1pts
Blue projected score63.6pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 20%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 16.4
- Score range
- 55–89
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
222.5Season APEX337.5
9.8Auto2.2
46.1Teleop45.9
20.9Endgame10.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 22 |
| teleop | 15 | 83 |
| endgame | 28 | 22 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 72 | 127 |
Result
Final score
72 – 127
Prediction missed · off by 35.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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