Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

14.87 – 61.55

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

11 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.8 ±11

10248Iron Byrds

Season APEX 33.5Event APEX 22.29Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX -0.79Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -6.63Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.3 ±11.7

10412TechBotTronics-1RSNC

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 13.93Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 4.92Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3506YETI Robotics

Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 42.7Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10248, 8746, 5727

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10248, 8746, 5727

Auto

1.6 10%

Teleop

11.1 70%

Endgame

3.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10412, 6932, 3506

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10412, 6932, 3506

Auto

15.1 25%

Teleop

26.6 43%

Endgame

19.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score14.9pts

Blue projected score61.6pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.7
Score range: 6–71
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 107 vs event baseline 49.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.8Season APEX231.3

1.6Auto15.1

11.1Teleop26.6

3.2Endgame19.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	20
teleop	2	55
endgame	5	21
foul	0	0
total	11	96

Result

Final score

11 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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