Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.38 – 75.08

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

42 – 17

Prediction missed · off by 32.7 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156.5 ±10.4

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 23.82Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 15.13Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 10.43Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 126.5 ±11.6

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX 18.52Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4935T-Rex

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 46.89Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 9.67Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11377, 9005, 9150

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11377, 9005, 9150

Auto

18.0 36%

Teleop

20.2 40%

Endgame

12.1 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3680, 4935, 9298

/ 100 compat

Projected

75.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3680, 4935, 9298

Auto

12.0 18%

Teleop

36.3 55%

Endgame

18.2 27%

Strengths

· 4935 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.4pts

Blue projected score75.1pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.7
Score range: 40–84
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 59 vs event baseline 51.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156.5Season APEX126.5

18Auto12

20.2Teleop36.3

12.1Endgame18.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	6
teleop	18	8
endgame	4	3
foul	0	0
total	42	17

Result

Final score

42 – 17

Prediction missed · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.