Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

64.24 – 46.78

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

23 – 3

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.5 ±10.4

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 20.92Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 20.79Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8746Knights

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 22.53Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 155.1 ±12.1

900The Zebracorns

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 22.2Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 18.73Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9198The Beach Botz

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 5.85Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3196, 8727, 8746

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 8727, 8746

Auto

17.6 28%

Teleop

32.3 51%

Endgame

13.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 900, 5727, 9198

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 900, 5727, 9198

Auto

10.4 23%

Teleop

25.1 55%

Endgame

10.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.2pts

Blue projected score46.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample142alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.5
Score range: 32–79
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 26 vs event baseline 84.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.5Season APEX155.1

17.6Auto10.4

32.3Teleop25.1

13.8Endgame10.4

27Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	1
teleop	16	2
endgame	3	0
foul	0	0
total	23	3

Result

Final score

23 – 3

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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