Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
184.08 – 174
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
267 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 67 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 204.4Event APEX 87.74Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 17.28Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.9Event APEX 79.06Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 394.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 62.53Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 130.2Event APEX 100.21Rank 3Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 26Event APEX 11.26Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3506, 8746, 4534
81
/ 100 compatProjected
184.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3506, 8746, 4534
Auto
31.2 17%
Teleop
105.1 57%
Endgame
47.1 26%
Strengths
- · 3506 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2724, 6500, 3680
78
/ 100 compatProjected
174 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2724, 6500, 3680
Auto
28.4 17%
Teleop
106.7 63%
Endgame
33.3 20%
Strengths
- · 6500 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score184.1pts
Blue projected score174pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample142alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 10.1
- Score range
- 159–199
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
353.1Season APEX394.7
31.2Auto28.4
105.1Teleop106.7
47.1Endgame33.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 21 |
| teleop | 163 | 68 |
| endgame | 64 | 34 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 267 | 123 |
Result
Final score
267 – 123
Prediction correct · off by 67 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.