Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

112.34 – 94.89

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 36.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198 ±10.4

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 26.28Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 53.29Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 32.77Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.1 ±11

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 12.3Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 45.31Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3229Hawktimus Prime

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 37.28Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3196, 4828, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 4828, 11377

Auto

32.5 29%

Teleop

47.7 43%

Endgame

31.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6908, 7918, 3229

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6908, 7918, 3229

Auto

20.2 23%

Teleop

50.3 56%

Endgame

19.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.3pts

Blue projected score94.9pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.5
Score range: 77–130
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 98.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198Season APEX173.1

32.5Auto20.2

47.7Teleop50.3

31.3Endgame19.2

0Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	22
teleop	73	95
endgame	23	41
foul	0	0
total	123	158

Result

Final score

123 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 36.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.