Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

212.51 – 111.17

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 27.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 440 ±9.3

10077The H.E.I.S.T.

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -0.01Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 131.17Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 81.35Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.8 ±11.7

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 25.75Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 53.27Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9605Creek Commanders

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 32.15Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10077, 2724, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10077, 2724, 1533

Auto

52.7 25%

Teleop

109.7 51%

Endgame

51.0 24%

Strengths

· 2724 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3196, 4828, 9605

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 4828, 9605

Auto

23.7 23%

Teleop

53.0 52%

Endgame

24.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.5pts

Blue projected score111.2pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.3
Score range: 94–230
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 379 vs event baseline 96.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

440Season APEX178.8

52.7Auto23.7

109.7Teleop53

51Endgame24.9

16Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	22
teleop	129	55
endgame	24	44
foul	30	0
total	258	121

Result

Final score

258 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 27.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.