Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.18 – 100.41

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 65.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.5 ±11

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 20.53Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 45.61Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 14.04Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 198 ±10.4

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 20.84Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 49.24Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 30.33Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9150, 1225, 9762

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 1225, 9762

Auto

17.4 22%

Teleop

41.2 52%

Endgame

21.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3196, 4828, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 4828, 11377

Auto

32.5 33%

Teleop

38.7 40%

Endgame

26.3 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.2pts

Blue projected score100.4pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.2
Score range: 63–117
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 96.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.5Season APEX198

17.4Auto32.5

41.2Teleop38.7

21.2Endgame26.3

55Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	36
teleop	61	93
endgame	48	45
foul	0	0
total	137	174

Result

Final score

137 – 174

Prediction correct · off by 65.2 pts

Match videos

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