Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.43 – 95.24

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

225 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.6 ±9.3

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 5.12Rank 30Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 60.37Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 76.94Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.1 ±11

9607RJR Cyber Demons

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 3.36Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 49.67Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3229Hawktimus Prime

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 42.21Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7763, 7890, 8727

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7763, 7890, 8727

Auto

19.3 14%

Teleop

82.7 58%

Endgame

39.4 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9607, 7918, 3229

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9607, 7918, 3229

Auto

20.5 22%

Teleop

52.9 57%

Endgame

18.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.4pts

Blue projected score95.2pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.2
Score range: 77–160
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 100.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.6Season APEX166.1

19.3Auto20.5

82.7Teleop52.9

39.4Endgame18.7

2Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	21
teleop	141	65
endgame	56	39
foul	0	0
total	225	125

Result

Final score

225 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 56.2 pts

Match videos

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