Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.66 – 88.92

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 127

Prediction missed · off by 24.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 154.5 ±11

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 24.67Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 48.45Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 16.54Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.1 ±11

9607RJR Cyber Demons

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 0.77Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 47.88Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3229Hawktimus Prime

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 40.27Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9150, 1225, 9762

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 1225, 9762

Auto

19.6 22%

Teleop

43.7 50%

Endgame

24.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9607, 7918, 3229

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9607, 7918, 3229

Auto

21.2 25%

Teleop

48.5 56%

Endgame

16.4 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.25 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.7pts

Blue projected score88.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0.7
Score range: 71–108
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 100.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

154.5Season APEX166.1

19.6Auto21.2

43.7Teleop48.5

24.9Endgame16.4

71Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	17
teleop	37	75
endgame	7	30
foul	15	5
total	78	127

Result

Final score

78 – 127

Prediction missed · off by 24.9 pts

Match videos

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