Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
29.24 – 20.22
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
85 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.9 ±11.7
Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 7.24Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 10.57Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 11.43Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±11.7
Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 10.12Rank 30Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 2.86Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 7.24Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6932, 6888, 4828
33
/ 100 compatProjected
29.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6932, 6888, 4828
Auto
13.8 47%
Teleop
5.7 19%
Endgame
9.8 33%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7763, 9762, 9605
25
/ 100 compatProjected
20.2 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7763, 9762, 9605
Auto
12.0 60%
Teleop
2.7 13%
Endgame
5.4 27%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score29.2pts
Blue projected score20.2pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 15%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 9
- Score range
- 7–42
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
133.9Season APEX176.3
13.8Auto12
5.7Teleop2.7
9.8Endgame5.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 7 |
| teleop | 49 | 21 |
| endgame | 7 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 85 | 68 |
Result
Final score
85 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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