Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.92 – 163.46

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 121.6 ±12.7

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 12.98Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 14.4Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10704Storm Surge

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 20.54Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 337.5 ±10.4

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 86.6Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 47.35Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 29.51Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5518, 6908, 10704

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5518, 6908, 10704

Auto

13.5 28%

Teleop

22.8 47%

Endgame

12.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8727, 1225, 2682

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.5 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8727, 1225, 2682

Auto

21.4 13%

Teleop

101.1 64%

Endgame

36.1 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.9pts

Blue projected score163.5pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -115.5
Score range: 29–182
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 103.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

121.6Season APEX337.5

13.5Auto21.4

22.8Teleop101.1

12.1Endgame36.1

46Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	19
teleop	23	112
endgame	13	13
foul	0	0
total	45	144

Result

Final score

45 – 144

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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