Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

117.09 – 32.44

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

142 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222 ±10.4

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 20.21Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 27.88Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 69Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 91 ±12.2

9607RJR Cyber Demons

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 4.84Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 21.54Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 6.06Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3196, 11377, 8727

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3196, 11377, 8727

Auto

25.9 22%

Teleop

65.7 57%

Endgame

24.2 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9607, 9150, 6932

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9607, 9150, 6932

Auto

15.1 44%

Teleop

10.6 31%

Endgame

8.5 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.1pts

Blue projected score32.4pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.7
Score range: 15–134
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 95.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222Season APEX91

25.9Auto15.1

65.7Teleop10.6

24.2Endgame8.5

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	18
teleop	48	2
endgame	52	7
foul	5	5
total	142	32

Result

Final score

142 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 12.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.