Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.25 – 118.54
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
41 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.3 ±10.5
Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 3.09Rank 30Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 38.15Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 34.01Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 50.23Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 34.65Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 33.66Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7763, 10107, 2682
56
/ 100 compatProjected
75.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7763, 10107, 2682
Auto
17.4 26%
Teleop
33.9 51%
Endgame
14.7 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1225, 6639, 5727
68
/ 100 compatProjected
118.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1225, 6639, 5727
Auto
12.1 10%
Teleop
75.9 64%
Endgame
29.9 25%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 18%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.96 · Blue 1.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.3pts
Blue projected score118.5pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 18%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -43.3
- Score range
- 58–136
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
328.3Season APEX295.8
17.4Auto12.1
33.9Teleop75.9
14.7Endgame29.9
44Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 21 |
| teleop | 27 | 41 |
| endgame | 0 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 41 | 81 |
Result
Final score
41 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.