Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.47 – 66.2

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 90.4 ±12.1

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 15.61Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 8.07Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10704Storm Surge

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 25.79Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.6 ±11

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 19.23Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 27.52Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 19.45Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9762, 6908, 10704

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9762, 6908, 10704

Auto

18.9 42%

Teleop

15.2 34%

Endgame

11.0 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9298, 11377, 9150

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9298, 11377, 9150

Auto

26.7 39%

Teleop

28.6 42%

Endgame

12.5 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.5pts

Blue projected score66.2pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.7
Score range: 32–83
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 125 vs event baseline 95.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

90.4Season APEX144.6

18.9Auto26.7

15.2Teleop28.6

11Endgame12.5

30Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	28
teleop	16	46
endgame	10	8
foul	0	0
total	43	82

Result

Final score

43 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 11.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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