Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
71.98 – 72.47
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
84 – 56
Prediction missed · off by 14.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 125 ±12.1
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 33.45Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 24.17Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 26Event APEX 14.36Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.4 ±10.5
Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 15.56Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 21.56Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 35.35Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10107, 10704, 3680
49
/ 100 compatProjected
72 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 10107, 10704, 3680
Auto
17.1 24%
Teleop
44.9 63%
Endgame
9.0 13%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9762, 9150, 6639
55
/ 100 compatProjected
72.5 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9762, 9150, 6639
Auto
18.8 27%
Teleop
36.1 52%
Endgame
14.6 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.23
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score72pts
Blue projected score72.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -0.5
- Score range
- 55–89
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
125Season APEX252.4
17.1Auto18.8
44.9Teleop36.1
9Endgame14.6
5Consistency49
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 14 | 16 |
| teleop | 46 | 17 |
| endgame | 24 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 84 | 56 |
Result
Final score
84 – 56
Prediction missed · off by 14.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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