Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

176.31 – 121.94

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

183 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.6 ±11.2

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 78.74Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 86.7Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 10.87Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.2 ±11

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 36.54Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 49.42Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 35.98Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8727, 1533, 6932

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8727, 1533, 6932

Auto

38.3 22%

Teleop

109.4 62%

Endgame

30.0 17%

Strengths

· 1533 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5727, 7918, 11377

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5727, 7918, 11377

Auto

25.2 21%

Teleop

58.4 48%

Endgame

37.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score176.3pts

Blue projected score121.9pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.4
Score range: 105–193
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 94.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.6Season APEX184.2

38.3Auto25.2

109.4Teleop58.4

30Endgame37.2

14Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	20
teleop	87	39
endgame	65	0
foul	15	0
total	183	59

Result

Final score

183 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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