Qualification · Qualification 44
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
86.13 – 62.1
57%43%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
83 – 100
Prediction missed · off by 20.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 147.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 33.92Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 29.16Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 23.05Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 118.3 ±11.6
Season APEX 26Event APEX 9.67Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 15.1Event APEX 13.29Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 39.14Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10107, 9605, 3196
58
/ 100 compatProjected
86.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10107, 9605, 3196
Auto
15.6 22%
Teleop
41.0 57%
Endgame
15.0 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3680, 9762, 1225
48
/ 100 compatProjected
62.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3680, 9762, 1225
Auto
16.0 27%
Teleop
31.5 53%
Endgame
11.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score86.1pts
Blue projected score62.1pts
Red win probability57%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 24
- Score range
- 45–103
- Upset likelihood
- 43%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
147.7Season APEX118.3
15.6Auto16
41Teleop31.5
15Endgame11.7
14Consistency14
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 17 |
| teleop | 46 | 52 |
| endgame | 21 | 31 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 83 | 100 |
Result
Final score
83 – 100
Prediction missed · off by 20.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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