Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.14 – 74.82

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 120.1 ±12.2

10583Stampede

Season APEX 17.1Event APEX 8.37Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9607RJR Cyber Demons

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -5.32Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 62.09Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.4 ±11.7

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 42.78Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 11.45Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 20.59Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10583, 9607, 4828

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10583, 9607, 4828

Auto

21.9 35%

Teleop

36.2 58%

Endgame

4.1 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7890, 6932, 9298

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7890, 6932, 9298

Auto

29.6 38%

Teleop

33.1 43%

Endgame

15.1 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.1pts

Blue projected score74.8pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.7
Score range: 48–92
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 156 vs event baseline 95.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

120.1Season APEX211.4

21.9Auto29.6

36.2Teleop33.1

4.1Endgame15.1

12Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	31
teleop	38	34
endgame	26	15
foul	0	0
total	76	80

Result

Final score

76 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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