Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.36 – 173.4

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

259 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 85.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.4 ±10.5

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 124.35Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 29.72Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 75.29Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 357.2 ±11.2

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 47.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 21.31Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 104.98Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2724, 5727, 8727

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2724, 5727, 8727

Auto

38.9 17%

Teleop

134.0 59%

Endgame

54.1 24%

Strengths

· 2724 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2682, 5518, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2682, 5518, 1533

Auto

35.7 21%

Teleop

92.5 55%

Endgame

40.4 24%

Strengths

· 1533 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score229.4pts

Blue projected score173.4pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56
Score range: 156–246
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 291 vs event baseline 93.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.4Season APEX357.2

38.9Auto35.7

134Teleop92.5

54.1Endgame40.4

42Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	16
teleop	154	1
endgame	63	15
foul	0	0
total	259	32

Result

Final score

259 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 85.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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