Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.26 – 77.27

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

167 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 70.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.5 ±10.5

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX -4.17Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 19.62Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 29.81Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 240.7 ±11

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 5.54Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 27.38Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 44.35Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9762, 11377, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9762, 11377, 7890

Auto

26.6 56%

Teleop

6.0 13%

Endgame

14.6 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6888, 5727, 2682

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6888, 5727, 2682

Auto

16.8 22%

Teleop

41.4 55%

Endgame

17.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.3pts

Blue projected score77.3pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32
Score range: 28–94
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 94.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.5Season APEX240.7

26.6Auto16.8

6Teleop41.4

14.6Endgame17

63Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	18
teleop	62	29
endgame	53	45
foul	5	5
total	167	97

Result

Final score

167 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 70.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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