Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

84.6 – 69.73

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

126 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.5 ±10.5

6639The Mechanical Minds

Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 32.82Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 46.52Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX 5.26Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 98 ±13.3

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 28.5Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 22.12Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 19.11Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6639, 4828, 3680

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6639, 4828, 3680

Auto

14.8 19%

Teleop

39.9 51%

Endgame

23.4 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5727, 5518, 6932

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5727, 5518, 6932

Auto

16.9 23%

Teleop

34.0 46%

Endgame

23.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.6pts

Blue projected score69.7pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 14.9
Score range: 53–102
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 91.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.5Season APEX98

14.8Auto16.9

39.9Teleop34

23.4Endgame23.1

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	21
teleop	75	16
endgame	15	16
foul	5	0
total	126	53

Result

Final score

126 – 53

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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