Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.36 – 118.19

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215.4 ±10.5

9762Raccoon Robotics

Season APEX 15.1Event APEX -7.64Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 103.19Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 9.81Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.7 ±11.7

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX 1.56Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 11.25Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 105.38Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9762, 1533, 6888

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9762, 1533, 6888

Auto

27.0 27%

Teleop

52.9 53%

Endgame

20.2 20%

Strengths

· 1533 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3680, 6932, 2724

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3680, 6932, 2724

Auto

43.6 36%

Teleop

52.9 44%

Endgame

23.2 19%

Strengths

· 2724 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.4pts

Blue projected score118.2pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.8
Score range: 89–134
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 87.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215.4Season APEX272.7

27Auto43.6

52.9Teleop52.9

20.2Endgame23.2

164Consistency172

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	36
teleop	47	86
endgame	13	51
foul	0	0
total	96	173

Result

Final score

96 – 173

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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