Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.4 – 136.24

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 13.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.7 ±11.7

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 24.07Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 12.98Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 47.35Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.6 ±9.8

11417Nano Knights

Season APEX 166.1Event APEX 15.1Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 51.7Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 69.44Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9150, 5518, 1225

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 5518, 1225

Auto

14.7 17%

Teleop

47.1 55%

Endgame

23.2 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11417, 7918, 7890

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11417, 7918, 7890

Auto

22.1 17%

Teleop

77.6 58%

Endgame

33.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.4pts

Blue projected score136.2pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -51.8
Score range: 65–155
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 103.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.7Season APEX427.6

14.7Auto22.1

47.1Teleop77.6

23.2Endgame33.8

77Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	19
teleop	46	70
endgame	35	27
foul	0	5
total	96	121

Result

Final score

96 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 13.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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