Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

100.16 – 9.53

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298.5 ±10.4

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 40.63Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2682Boneyard Robotics 2682

Season APEX 153.9Event APEX 37.59Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 21.94Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 84.8 ±12.7

10304Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX -7.66Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10583Stampede

Season APEX 17.1Event APEX 1.57Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 15.62Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4828, 2682, 9150

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4828, 2682, 9150

Auto

24.8 30%

Teleop

34.7 41%

Endgame

24.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10304, 10583, 6908

/ 100 compat

Projected

9.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10304, 10583, 6908

Auto

3.8 27%

Teleop

4.4 31%

Endgame

5.9 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.2pts

Blue projected score9.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.6
Score range: -6–116
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 192 vs event baseline 88.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298.5Season APEX84.8

24.8Auto3.8

34.7Teleop4.4

24.3Endgame5.9

59Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	16
teleop	102	10
endgame	30	0
foul	0	0
total	166	26

Result

Final score

166 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 41.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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