Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.6 – 94.88

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

166 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.8 ±11.7

5518Techno Wolves

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 11.71Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 59.48Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3229Hawktimus Prime

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 14.41Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 191 ±11

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 25.91Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4828RoboEagles

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 38.42Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10107ThunderBirdz

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 30.55Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5518, 8727, 3229

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5518, 8727, 3229

Auto

15.7 17%

Teleop

60.4 66%

Endgame

15.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11377, 4828, 10107

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11377, 4828, 10107

Auto

31.2 36%

Teleop

38.5 45%

Endgame

16.4 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.6pts

Blue projected score94.9pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.3
Score range: 71–110
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 257 vs event baseline 83.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.8Season APEX191

15.7Auto31.2

60.4Teleop38.5

15.7Endgame16.4

67Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	37
teleop	81	34
endgame	48	20
foul	0	0
total	166	91

Result

Final score

166 – 91

Prediction missed · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.