Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

41.49 – 153.01

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

119 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.6 ±10.4

1225The Gorillas

Season APEX 77.2Event APEX 26.8Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3196Team SPORK

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 15.41Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3229Hawktimus Prime

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX -0.72Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 288.5 ±10.5

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 8.95Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 50.26Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 93.8Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1225, 3196, 3229

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1225, 3196, 3229

Auto

13.1 26%

Teleop

22.0 44%

Endgame

14.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9298, 8727, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

153 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9298, 8727, 1533

Auto

28.4 20%

Teleop

88.3 61%

Endgame

28.0 19%

Strengths

· 1533 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score41.5pts

Blue projected score153pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.5
Score range: 27–167
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 336 vs event baseline 80.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.6Season APEX288.5

13.1Auto28.4

22Teleop88.3

14.9Endgame28

46Consistency129

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	48
teleop	69	140
endgame	35	29
foul	0	0
total	119	217

Result

Final score

119 – 217

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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