Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58 – 171.79

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.6 ±11.1

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 28.97Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 10.17Rank 30Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3680Elemental Dragons

Season APEX 26Event APEX 18.86Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.4 ±10.5

11377Knightmare Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 34.47Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 122.92Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6908Infuzed

Season APEX 27.6Event APEX 14.4Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5727, 7763, 3680

/ 100 compat

Projected

58 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5727, 7763, 3680

Auto

9.9 19%

Teleop

25.7 48%

Endgame

17.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11377, 2724, 6908

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11377, 2724, 6908

Auto

49.8 29%

Teleop

81.0 48%

Endgame

39.2 23%

Strengths

· 2724 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.6 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58pts

Blue projected score171.8pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -113.8
Score range: 39–191
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 103.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.6Season APEX323.4

9.9Auto49.8

25.7Teleop81

17.8Endgame39.2

7Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	56
teleop	13	49
endgame	14	38
foul	0	0
total	39	143

Result

Final score

39 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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