Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.38 – 55.79

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

84 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 20.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.6 ±9.8

9150Labyrinth Robotics

Season APEX 62.2Event APEX 45.93Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 49.17Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6888Foothills Robotics

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 21.28Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231 ±11.7

10704Storm Surge

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX -2.1Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 18.45Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6639The Mechanical Minds

Season APEX 175.1Event APEX 39.44Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9150, 7890, 6888

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9150, 7890, 6888

Auto

24.1 22%

Teleop

61.2 55%

Endgame

25.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10704, 6932, 6639

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10704, 6932, 6639

Auto

12.9 19%

Teleop

38.9 58%

Endgame

15.4 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score116.4pts

Blue projected score55.8pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 60.6
Score range: 41–131
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 80.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.6Season APEX231

24.1Auto12.9

61.2Teleop38.9

25.8Endgame15.4

97Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	20
teleop	37	17
endgame	28	10
foul	0	0
total	84	47

Result

Final score

84 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 20.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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