Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.14 – 95.07

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 76.8 ±12.7

6932SMART

Season APEX 8.2Event APEX 29.98Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX -6.13Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5727Omegabytes

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 24.29Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 174.8 ±11.6

10304Circuit Breakers

Season APEX 40.1Event APEX 25.55Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10107ThunderBirdz

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 34.48Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7918ReCuRsIoN

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 35.04Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6932, 9298, 5727

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6932, 9298, 5727

Auto

22.6 43%

Teleop

29.0 55%

Endgame

1.0 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10304, 10107, 7918

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10304, 10107, 7918

Auto

20.6 22%

Teleop

47.2 51%

Endgame

25.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 19%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.1pts

Blue projected score95.1pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 19%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -46.9
Score range: 34–109
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 78.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

76.8Season APEX174.8

22.6Auto20.6

29Teleop47.2

1Endgame25.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	16
teleop	27	48
endgame	17	10
foul	0	0
total	60	74

Result

Final score

60 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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