Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.17 – 160.1

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

0 – 206

Prediction missed · off by 141 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.6 ±9.9

9298Greenies

Season APEX 25.1Event APEX 17.89Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2724Avalanche Robotics

Season APEX 238.5Event APEX 134.32Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1533Triple Strange

Season APEX 157Event APEX 83.96Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 407.6 ±9.3

7763Carrborobotics

Season APEX 123.1Event APEX 10.62Rank 30Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7890SeQuEnCe

Season APEX 178.1Event APEX 66.32Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8727Glitch 2.0

Season APEX 106.4Event APEX 83.16Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9298, 2724, 1533

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9298, 2724, 1533

Auto

62.8 27%

Teleop

122.4 53%

Endgame

44.7 19%

Strengths

· 2724 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7763, 7890, 8727

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7763, 7890, 8727

Auto

20.4 13%

Teleop

90.9 58%

Endgame

44.3 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.2pts

Blue projected score160.1pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 76.1
Score range: 141–255
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 103.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420.6Season APEX407.6

62.8Auto20.4

122.4Teleop90.9

44.7Endgame44.3

3Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	28
teleop	0	113
endgame	0	30
foul	10	35
total	0	206

Result

Final score

0 – 206

Prediction missed · off by 141 pts

Match videos

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