Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

364.41 – 91.21

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

467 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 86.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 784 ±11.2

11304Meowbotics - Fresnillo PLC

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 3.2Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 178.7Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 182.51Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 234.1 ±15.3

5705DESERT EAGLES - JOHN DEERE

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 20.66Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6199E-Hawks - Peñoles

Season APEX 51.8Event APEX 28.3Rank 13Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4603Forza One - Peñoles

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 42.25Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11304, 6647, 4400

/ 100 compat

Projected

364.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 11304, 6647, 4400

Auto

46.2 13%

Teleop

222.7 63%

Endgame

83.6 24%

Strengths

· 4400 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5705, 6199, 4603

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.2 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5705, 6199, 4603

Auto

21.7 26%

Teleop

43.7 53%

Endgame

17.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score364.4pts

Blue projected score91.2pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 273.2
Score range: 67–388
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 487 vs event baseline 132.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

784Season APEX234.1

46.2Auto21.7

222.7Teleop43.7

83.6Endgame17.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	8
teleop	329	12
endgame	61	0
foul	15	0
total	467	20

Result

Final score

467 – 20

Prediction correct · off by 86.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.