Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.41 – 198.67

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.5 ±19.7

2283Panteras

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 70.29Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4977Iron Lion

Provisional

Season APEX 36.4Event APEX 21.76Rank 43Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7018EOLOTICS - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 10Event APEX -4.64Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.9 ±18

6483Prepa Tecmilenio - CHARGER

Provisional

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 14.61Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6896CABOTS - Fresnillo PLC - Conalep Caborca

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 8.81Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 175.25Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2283, 4977, 7018

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2283, 4977, 7018

Auto

24.3 27%

Teleop

40.5 45%

Endgame

25.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6483, 6896, 4400

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6483, 6896, 4400

Auto

37.1 19%

Teleop

111.6 58%

Endgame

44.2 23%

Strengths

· 4400 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score87.4pts

Blue projected score198.7pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.3
Score range: 63–223
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 366 vs event baseline 131.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.5Season APEX403.9

24.3Auto37.1

40.5Teleop111.6

25.6Endgame44.2

45Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	50
teleop	30	164
endgame	31	65
foul	0	5
total	82	284

Result

Final score

82 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 45.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.