Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
55.5 – 55.5
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
214 – 61
Prediction correct · off by 82 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 659.1 ±15.6
Season APEX 338.5Event APEX -Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.5Event APEX -Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6896CABOTS - Fresnillo PLC - Conalep Caborca
Provisional
Season APEX 72.1Event APEX -Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.1 ±18.4
8293Prepa Tecmilenio - Startech
Provisional
Season APEX 32.6Event APEX -Rank 40Record 2-7-1Status provisionalConfidence 73
11031Golden STEAMex
Provisional
Season APEX 45.6Event APEX -Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 120.9Event APEX -Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5948, 4403, 6896
50
/ 100 compatProjected
55.5 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 5948, 4403, 6896
Auto
16.7 30%
Teleop
27.8 50%
Endgame
11.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8293, 11031, 9134
50
/ 100 compatProjected
55.5 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 8293, 11031, 9134
Auto
16.7 30%
Teleop
27.8 50%
Endgame
11.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 58%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.41
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score55.5pts
Blue projected score55.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 58%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 36–76
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
659.1Season APEX199.1
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 6 |
| teleop | 131 | 24 |
| endgame | 43 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 214 | 61 |
Result
Final score
214 – 61
Prediction correct · off by 82 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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