Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
108.09 – 338.41
5%95%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
122 – 396
Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 425.5 ±16.3
Season APEX 122.5Event APEX 88.74Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 22.21Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 246.2Event APEX -2.86Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 675.7 ±15.3
9120Silverbot - Fresnillo PLC
Provisional
Season APEX 70Event APEX 20.47Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 183.95Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 338.5Event APEX 133.99Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5716, 9593, 11304
55
/ 100 compatProjected
108.1 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 5716, 9593, 11304
Auto
18.2 18%
Teleop
58.6 57%
Endgame
26.6 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9120, 6647, 5948
78
/ 100 compatProjected
338.4 pts
~2.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 9120, 6647, 5948
Auto
38.8 11%
Teleop
216.1 64%
Endgame
84.0 25%
Strengths
- · 6647 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.56
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score108.1pts
Blue projected score338.4pts
Red win probability5%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -230.3
- Score range
- 85–361
- Upset likelihood
- 5%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
425.5Season APEX675.7
18.2Auto38.8
58.6Teleop216.1
26.6Endgame84
0Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 57 |
| teleop | 51 | 239 |
| endgame | 22 | 85 |
| foul | 15 | 15 |
| total | 122 | 396 |
Result
Final score
122 – 396
Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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