Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 142.45

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131.8 ±20.8

11031Golden STEAMex

Provisional

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 2.47Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8266Owlbot - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 6.42Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7037Jeunes D'Argent - FresnilloPLC

Provisional

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX -14.39Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.5 ±17.5

8291Golden Yellow Experience - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 19.54Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2283Panteras

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 75.6Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 80

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 47.31Rank 20Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11031, 8266, 7037

/ 100 compat

Projected

-5.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 11031, 8266, 7037

Auto

6.7 0%

Teleop

-17.0 100%

Endgame

1.3 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8291, 2283, 7725

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.5 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8291, 2283, 7725

Auto

37.4 26%

Teleop

65.9 47%

Endgame

38.2 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score-5.5pts

Blue projected score142.5pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -142.4
Score range: -23–165
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 212 vs event baseline 130.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131.8Season APEX272.5

6.7Auto37.4

-17Teleop65.9

1.3Endgame38.2

78Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	31
teleop	20	108
endgame	7	28
foul	0	5
total	40	172

Result

Final score

40 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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