Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.44 – 115.19

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

315 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 761.9 ±11.2

11304Meowbotics - Fresnillo PLC

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX -6.45Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 135.29Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 175.6Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 200.1 ±18.8

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 53.04Rank 20Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4401CETMOV - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 24.45Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7577VELABOTS - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX 37.7Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11304, 4403, 6647

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.4 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 11304, 4403, 6647

Auto

42.2 14%

Teleop

205.8 67%

Endgame

59.2 19%

Strengths

· 6647 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7725, 4401, 7577

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7725, 4401, 7577

Auto

25.7 22%

Teleop

65.3 57%

Endgame

23.9 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score304.4pts

Blue projected score115.2pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 189.3
Score range: 92–327
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 421 vs event baseline 125.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

761.9Season APEX200.1

42.2Auto25.7

205.8Teleop65.3

59.2Endgame23.9

135Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	34
teleop	180	59
endgame	57	13
foul	30	0
total	315	106

Result

Final score

315 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 9.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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