Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
131.26 – 232.09
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
47 – 348
Prediction correct · off by 100.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±18.8
Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 74.91Rank 20Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
7687Corcebots - Peñoles
Provisional
Season APEX 55.9Event APEX 45.24Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 11.11Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.5 ±14.8
Season APEX 153.1Event APEX 103.9Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 120.9Event APEX 73.51Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.5Event APEX 54.68Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7725, 7687, 7653
59
/ 100 compatProjected
131.3 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 7725, 7687, 7653
Auto
18.8 14%
Teleop
93.2 69%
Endgame
23.2 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3158, 9134, 5716
82
/ 100 compatProjected
232.1 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 3158, 9134, 5716
Auto
38.9 17%
Teleop
125.0 55%
Endgame
63.0 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score131.3pts
Blue projected score232.1pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -100.8
- Score range
- 109–254
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
242.4Season APEX396.5
18.8Auto38.9
93.2Teleop125
23.2Endgame63
55Consistency51
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 45 |
| teleop | 17 | 211 |
| endgame | 13 | 92 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 47 | 348 |
Result
Final score
47 – 348
Prediction correct · off by 100.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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