Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

189.68 – 74.37

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

271 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.8 ±14.9

4603Forza One - Peñoles

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 21Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11351LYNTECH - Fresnillo PLC

Season APEX 58.5Event APEX 29.55Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 139.13Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.9 ±20.8

7577VELABOTS - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX 35.12Rank 41Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5312Lobotics - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 48.6Event APEX 39.18Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6483Prepa Tecmilenio - CHARGER

Provisional

Season APEX 61.2Event APEX 0.07Rank 38Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4603, 11351, 4400

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4603, 11351, 4400

Auto

31.2 18%

Teleop

110.0 63%

Endgame

32.8 19%

Strengths

· 4400 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7577, 5312, 6483

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.4 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 7577, 5312, 6483

Auto

22.2 28%

Teleop

37.5 48%

Endgame

19.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score189.7pts

Blue projected score74.4pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.3
Score range: 52–212
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 120.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.8Season APEX141.9

31.2Auto22.2

110Teleop37.5

32.8Endgame19

107Consistency85

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	11
teleop	157	22
endgame	77	18
foul	0	0
total	271	51

Result

Final score

271 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 52.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.