Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.48 – 115.68

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

48 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 173 ±20.2

9120Silverbot - Fresnillo PLC

Provisional

Season APEX 70Event APEX 43.34Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

11380CECYBOTS - Peñoles

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 31.26Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4401CETMOV - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 28.88Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.3 ±16.5

9499KANARITECH - FRESNILLO PLC

Provisional

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 19.41Rank 18Record 5-4-1Status provisionalConfidence 74

7725PrepaTec - NUTS & VOLTS

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 70.28Rank 20Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4603Forza One - Peñoles

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 25.99Rank 17Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9120, 11380, 4401

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9120, 11380, 4401

Auto

23.7 22%

Teleop

56.9 53%

Endgame

27.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9499, 7725, 4603

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9499, 7725, 4603

Auto

17.9 15%

Teleop

77.3 67%

Endgame

20.6 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score103.5pts

Blue projected score115.7pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.2
Score range: 80–139
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 126.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

173Season APEX257.3

23.7Auto17.9

56.9Teleop77.3

27.4Endgame20.6

61Consistency223

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	22
teleop	33	55
endgame	2	35
foul	0	5
total	48	117

Result

Final score

48 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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