Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.36 – 276.93

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 362.6 ±18.8

8291Golden Yellow Experience - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 32.22Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11304Meowbotics - Fresnillo PLC

Season APEX 246.2Event APEX 7.95Rank 42Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7687Corcebots - Peñoles

Provisional

Season APEX 55.9Event APEX 8.19Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.3 ±13.6

2283Panteras

Season APEX 88.1Event APEX 73.7Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 80

4400Cerbotics - Peñoles

Season APEX 270.6Event APEX 188.7Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5705DESERT EAGLES - JOHN DEERE

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 14.53Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8291, 11304, 7687

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.4 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8291, 11304, 7687

Auto

11.1 29%

Teleop

17.7 46%

Endgame

9.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2283, 4400, 5705

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2283, 4400, 5705

Auto

52.4 19%

Teleop

172.8 63%

Endgame

49.2 18%

Strengths

· 4400 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.4pts

Blue projected score276.9pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -228.6
Score range: 21–304
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 147.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

362.6Season APEX475.3

11.1Auto52.4

17.7Teleop172.8

9.6Endgame49.2

20Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	55
teleop	19	162
endgame	9	67
foul	0	0
total	32	284

Result

Final score

32 – 284

Prediction correct · off by 11.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.